PASSAGE PROBABILITY
51.2%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 61%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+2
59/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
1717 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+4
3 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
2 D · 2 R
-
Sponsor influence
-3
25/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.