PASSAGE PROBABILITY
73.4%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed — base rate 95%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+3
65/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
832 days quiet
-
Sponsor influence
-3
18/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.