PASSAGE PROBABILITY
58.5%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Passed First Chamber — base rate 61%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+4
69/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
926 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
27 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
16 D · 12 R
-
Sponsor influence
-3
18/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.