PASSAGE PROBABILITY
55.6%
Likely
Why this number
-
Stage
base
Reported from Committee — base rate 55%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
+2
57/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
485 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
12 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
11 D · 2 R
-
Sponsor influence
+2
73/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.