PASSAGE PROBABILITY
43%
Uncertain
Why this number
-
Stage
base
In Committee — base rate 46%, measured from DE's completed sessions
-
Momentum
-2
40/100 from the pace of recorded action
-
Time since last action
-22
633 days quiet
-
Cosponsors
+10
7 signed on
-
Bipartisan support
+9
7 D · 1 R
-
Sponsor influence
+3
79/100
A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship
and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention,
not as a forecast.