AN ACT CONCERNING THE USE OF RANKED-CHOICE VOTING IN PARTY CAUCUSES, CONVENTIONS AND PRIMARIES, INCLUDING PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE PRIMARIES, AND IN CERTAIN MUNICIPAL ELECTIONS.

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

1% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Floor Consideration — base rate 20%, measured from CT's completed sessions
Momentum +3 63/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 179 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.