Political Reform Act of 1974: prediction market contracts.

Introduced

In Committee

Floor

Crossed Over

Passed

Enacted

Overview Bill text 2 Compare versions History 5 Sponsors

AB1840 — · 0 words Open full page ↗

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

9.8% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base In Committee — base rate 37%, measured from CA's completed sessions
Momentum -5 28/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 186 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.