Salvatore Carpitano; death resolution

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

62.8% Likely

Why this number

Stage base Passed — base rate 80%, measured from AZ's completed sessions
Momentum +5 71/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 194 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.