Incarceration; supervised pre-incarceration probation for certain pregnant women provided for, self-surrender 12 weeks after birth required, criminal penalties for failure to surrender provided

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PASSAGE PROBABILITY

16.9% Unlikely

Why this number

Stage base Floor Consideration — base rate 41%, measured from AL's completed sessions
Momentum -2 41/100 from the pace of recorded action
Time since last action -22 270 days quiet

A transparent scoring model over stage, momentum, recency, sponsorship and recorded votes — not a trained predictor. Treat it as a way to rank attention, not as a forecast.